快科技8月24日消息，近日，蔚来联合创始人、总裁秦力洪在公开活动上作出判断，预计2026年内国内乘用车市场的纯电车型渗透率就会超过50%，纯电取代燃油成为市场绝对主流的行业终局正在以远超之前预期的速度加速到来。秦力洪在现场进一步明确预测，就在今年当中的某一个自然月，纯电车型的市场占比就会正式跨过50%的临界点，纯电车型成为车市销量绝对主流的趋势已经完全不可逆转。推动这一判断的核心支撑数据之一，是今年7月蔚来品牌在国内8个省份的42座城市里，单月销量已经同时超过了奔驰、宝马、奥迪组成的德系豪华三强，在不少核心高端市场已经站稳了脚跟。    KYIV, Ukraine -- Russia appears to be suffering severe losses as it wages its new offensive in eastern Ukraine, amid some of the bloodiest fighting in months, according to Ukrainian officials and independent analysts.Russia has thrown thousands of troops and hundreds of tanks and armored vehicles into the offensive, which is focused mainly on the strategic city of Avdiivka and further north near the city of Kupiansk. Russian forces for roughly two weeks have been trying to encircle Avdiivka, which is one of the most heavily fortified areas of Ukraine's frontline.Ukrainian officials on Sunday claimed Russia had lost over 6,000 soldiers in a week, as well as over 400 armored vehicles and tanks. Britain's defense intelligence claimed Russian casualties have spiked by 90% since it began the offensive.ABC cannot independently verify those numbers, but numerous videos of the Russian attacks around Avdiivka released by Ukrainian units suggest Russia is taking losses on a scale not since last winter.Some of the videos show columns of Russian armor coming under withering Ukrainian fire as they try to advance, pummelled by artillery and anti-tank missiles, and running into minefields. In other videos, Russian forces can be seen being barraged by U.S.-supplied cluster munitions. Large groups of Russian infantry can be seen being struck by artillery.Open source analysts watching the videos have counted dozens of Russian vehicles destroyed and damaged.Ukraine does not publish its own casualties, but Ukrainian officials have acknowledged they are also large.So far Russian forces have made little progress, only advancing a few hundred meters, near Avdiivka, according to both Ukrainian and Russian accounts.But despite the losses, Russia is continuing its efforts to encircle Avdiivka. The Washington, D.C.-based Institute for the Study of War on Sunday assessed Russia was moving more troops up to continue the attack."Russian forces are funneling additional forces to the Avdiivka front despite ongoing challenges with frontal mechanized assaults and the failure of a renewed push on October 19-20," the ISW wrote in its daily update on the war.Ukrainian officials have said they believe the determined Russian effort to seize Avdiivka is motivated by the Kremlin's desire to claim a significant victory ahead of Russia's presidential elections next year."It appears that Russian forces are continuing to use ineffective and costly tactics in offensive efforts near Avdiivka leading to high personnel and vehicle losses, and that they have continuously done so in several waves of attacks over the past week suggests that the Russian military command is prioritizing this axis, despite continued and growing losses," the ISW wrote in an earlier assessment on Saturday.Some Russian pro-war military bloggers have criticised how the operation has been handled and the decision to attack the most heavily fortified area of Ukraine's line, given the small progress so far.Analysts, however, have warned that despite the catastrophic losses, Russia may still be able to encircle Avdiivka and that it still has sizeable reserves in the area.Vitaliy Barabash, the head of Avdiivka's Ukrainian military administration, on Monday said Russian forces were attempting to cut the only road leading to the city, which would isolate the Ukrainian forces defending it."Logistics are very difficult. Twenty two kilometers to the city are constantly under fire, both during the day and at night. It greatly complicates both evacuation and bringing in humanitarian aid. Any logistics is all through one road. Of course, the enemy is trying to cut it," Barabash said in a live interview with RFE/RL.He also said that 1,601 civilians still in Avdiivka did not want to leave.Ukraine is also still on the offensive. In the past week, an unusually large force from two elite Ukrainian Marine brigades landed on the Russian-occupied eastern bank of the Dneipr river in the Kherson region. The Ukrainian units have advanced into at least two villages there and are digging in, according to Russian military bloggers.The scale of the operation is still very unclear, but it appears Ukraine may be attempting to establish a bridgehead there that if successful could create a possibility for it to move larger forces across for a bigger attack, potentially opening a new front in its counteroffensive. For now, most analysts assess the size of the Ukrainian force operating on the eastern bank is still small.Ukrainian forces are also continuing to attack on the main axis of the counteroffensive in the southern Zaporizhzhia region and around the city of Bakhmut, reportedly making small advances.。

二 | 更早之前，秦力洪就已经代表蔚来对外明确表态，蔚来未来绝对不会推出任何增程式车型，整个品牌的产品路线将始终坚定不移走纯电汽车赛道，不会为了短期销量随大流蹭增程的风口。

三 | 按照秦力洪的解释，以蔚来团队现有的技术积累和整车研发能力，如果真的想要入局增程赛道，只需要20个月的开发周期就能拿出完全满足量产标准的成熟增程车型，做增程在技术层面根本不存在任何门槛，不想做从来都不是做不出来。秦力洪在这次公开采访中还给所有人算了一笔非常直白的产业账，平均每台车上多装一整套增程系统，额外要付出的物料制造成本差不多在2万元左右，如果按照100万辆车的年销规模来计算，全部车型搭载增程系统要多花出来的额外总成本就能达到200亿元。在他看来，掏出这200亿元去覆盖所有增程车型的额外系统成本，完全不如把这笔钱直接投到换电站的布局建设上，最后换来的用户补能体验提升和品牌长期价值收益，要比卖增程车赚的短期利润高得多。

四 | 秦力洪同时提到，前几年不少车企靠增程车型快速起量赚来的快钱，本质上本来就不属于行业应该赚的长期收益，眼下随着市场竞争进入白热化阶段，当初靠增程这条捷径埋下的所有隐患，现在所有选择走这条路的玩家都要慢慢偿还之前欠下的成本债，行业发展从来不存在真正可以抄的近路。